Maximizing Total Return vs. Passive Index Tracking
Bondsavvy's Bond All-Star Team
We seek to maximize the total return of every corporate bond we recommend. We have narrowed down the vast
corporate bond universe from over 10,000 bonds to a select, curated list of bond recommendations we
believe can outperform bond funds and a bond's purchase-date yield to maturity.
We identify bonds that offer high yields relative to their risk. We also seek to maximize total returns
by recommending undervalued bonds that can appreciate in price. We update our buy/sell/hold bond
recommendations each quarter based on quarterly financial results, US Treasury yields, economic
conditions, and other investment considerations.
Every time we update our bond recommendations, we are making our list of recommended corporate bonds
better. In short, we seek to create a corporate bond All-Star team.
In Figure 1, we show how Bondsavvy recommendations have outperformed the iShares corporate bond ETFs for
our 92 exited bond recommendations. We have outperformed by 2.79 percentage points on an annual return
basis. Of the 92 bonds, we have outperformed for 63% of the picks, including 23 bonds where we
outperformed by at least 10 percentage points.
Figure 1: Investment Performance of Bondsavvy's 92 Exited Bond Recommendations vs. iShares
Corporate Bond ETFs
Sources: iShares website and Bondsavvy calculations.
View our corporate bond
returns page to see the
performance of all previous Bondsavvy investment recommendations. Past performance does not guarantee
future results.
Bush League Bond Funds
Bond index funds and ETFs such as Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT) are very
different. These funds do not identify bonds that can outperform. Rather, they follow an index that
includes thousands of bonds.
Having a portfolio of thousands of bonds results in muted returns. These funds might own some good bonds,
but if you own thousands of bonds, the performance will be average at best. If a manager of a baseball
team had to play thousands of different players on his team, no doubt, it would be a Bush League team,
similar to Bush League bond funds.
These bond funds and ETFs can also do some pretty silly things. Recently, both Vanguard VCIT and iShares
LQD elected to have Micron Technology bonds they owned redeemed by Micron as part of a tender offer.
They were under no obligation to sell, but they did so to ensure "liquidity" of their holdings and index
conformity.
Micron has the best financials of just about any company in the United States as of mid-2026. As they
sold Micron Technology bonds, they held on to myriad Big Tobacco bonds. To dump Micron bonds while
holding Big Tobacco bonds proves that bond funds are indeed the dumb money.
Ability to Assess Relative Value
Investors can assess the value of corporate bonds by analyzing the financials of issuing companies and
comparing an issuing company's bond price, YTM, and credit spread
to those of other bond issuers. Individual bond investors are further aided by individual corporate
bonds trading as a percentage of their $1000 face value. Evaluating issuer financials, yield-to-maturity
(YTM), and credit spreads is central to creating a successful bond investing strategy that can outpace
inflation.
Investors cannot assess the value of bond funds and ETFs since they lack underlying financials, a fixed
coupon, a maturity date, and trade off a fund's net asset value per share. Fund net asset values per
share vary for each fund, which eliminates the ability for investors to apply anything in their investor
tool kit to assess the value of these investments.
Fixed Coupon Income vs. Bond Fund Variable Distributions
Individual corporate bonds have fixed coupons that contractually pay investors coupon interest every six
months. On the other hand, bond fund distributions are variable, which makes it impossible for bond fund
and ETF investors to know what future income they can expect.
As we like to say, "bond funds and ETFs take the fixed out of fixed income."
Some of Bondsavvy's most successful investments have been when we recommended bonds with high coupons
that also achieved strong capital appreciation.